No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $48.43
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $121.57
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$85.87
Polymarket Trader
rockandrolla
0xe6538b996e495877a3e557e0bf07388be82ee488
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $213.32
- Realized PnL
- $71.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $75.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $50.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $33.92
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $33.92
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $16.37
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
No position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $290?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 12 above $160?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 19-25?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $370?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 78% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 30.8% 16.37 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 79% 170 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 84% 180 shares
- Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 82% 60 shares
- Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 97.7% 50.5 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 81.6% 180 shares
- Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 97.4% 50.5 shares
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.1% 50 shares
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 95.7% 50 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No 97.2% 39.5 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 11?No 99.6% 10 shares