Polymarket Trader

mdesousag

@mdesousag

0xe683d682e0731af17556243f801ec2e330cad792

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.92
Realized PnL: $81.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.91
Potential profit: $95.91
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 4PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6PM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Over position

76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7PM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will "Stranger Things" have 4+ seasons in Netflix's top 5 this week?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Vikings position

Vikings vs. Lions

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Puka Nacua win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Argentina leading at halftime? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

98.5% 1.62 shares
Argentina leading at halftime? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

60.5% 1.62 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

38.5% 2.54 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Morocco leading at halftime?

65.2% 1.53 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?

49.5% 2.02 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 AND Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

7% 14.32 shares
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Yes 0.3% 26.55 shares
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Yes 0.3% 10.32 shares
Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 999.99 shares
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?

Yes 0.1% 438.4 shares
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?

Yes 0.2% 3.64 shares