Polymarket Trader

Csage

0xe68ca3f965d7bf34f8473403d26d066912a3779d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $207.1
Realized PnL: $1.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.56
Potential profit: $583.56
User PnL: -$562.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $96.43
Potential payout: $422.02
Potential profit: $325.59
Multiplier: 4.38x
User PnL: $15.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.64
Potential profit: $350.64
User PnL: -$225.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$191.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.24
Potential profit: $193.24
User PnL: -$183.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.07
Potential profit: $172.07
User PnL: -$163.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.24
Potential profit: $171.24
User PnL: -$97.51

Bayern München position

Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.61
Potential profit: $162.61
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.98
Potential profit: $155.98
User PnL: -$79.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.36
Potential profit: $144.36
User PnL: -$113.87

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.04
Potential profit: $136.04
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.75
Potential profit: $132.75
User PnL: -$130.09

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.08
Potential profit: $129.08
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.79
Potential profit: $128.79
User PnL: -$29.52

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.06
Potential profit: $108.06
User PnL: -$90.96

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $11.72
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $89.29
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.74
Potential profit: $100.74
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $98.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $31.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $79.37
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.77

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.14

Yes position

Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.07

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.05

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.08

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.42

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.07

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.96

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

No 4.9% 20.41 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

No 2.9% 34.48 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 9.9% 101.01 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 50% 40 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 57% 35.09 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 66% 75.76 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 15.63 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 25.32 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 40% 21.27 shares