Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $35.13
- Potential payout
- $772.18
- Potential profit
- $737.04
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$96.14
Polymarket Trader
un0theo
0xe6a5a7df067d5f47161ba2bbfd0d14af1ba91d0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $325.61
- Realized PnL
- $380.85
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $77.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $322.4
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- -$23.2
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $122.48
- Potential payout
- $322.33
- Potential profit
- $199.84
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$27.52
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $64.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $235.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $25.89
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $152.68
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.55
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 14% 178.57 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes 46.5% 322.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 214.14 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.3% 200 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 58% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8.2% 200 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 173.96 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.2% 400 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 52% 100 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 772.18 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 60.7% 163.04 shares