Polymarket Trader

Intendant-Jean-Talon

0xe6a8c937ed99a5587f6f699833d4a25431a800c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $4.43K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $118.24K
Potential profit: $116.52K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.66K

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $43.36K
Potential profit: $42.34K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$770.35

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $20.95
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $117.6
Potential payout: $871.1
Potential profit: $753.51
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$15.23

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $80.17
Potential payout: $697.11
Potential profit: $616.94
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$24.21

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $85.1
Potential payout: $550.78
Potential profit: $465.68
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$6.86

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $381.85
Potential payout: $441.44
Potential profit: $59.59
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $63.16
Potential payout: $360.91
Potential profit: $297.75
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $19.88

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.21
Potential profit: $330.21
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$19.06

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$106

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $47

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $187
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $31

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.3
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$50.3

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.5
Potential profit: $179.5
User PnL: -$66.08

Yes position

Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $22.18
Potential payout: $154.03
Potential profit: $131.85
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $113.22
Potential payout: $127.93
Potential profit: $14.71
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $118.64
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$80.51

Yes position

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$11.5

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $96.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67% 200 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

No 74.4% 15.48 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 42.2% 140.01 shares
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 79% 80 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 85% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 36% 40 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 56% 298.97 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 14% 1,431.51 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 87% 125.28 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 51% 140 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 39% 40 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 86% 100 shares