Polymarket Trader

argall

0xe6c5b9fb3154ab9f62272e4e81e4a8cb873ce133

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.15
Realized PnL: $2.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$51.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.25
Potential profit: $740.25
User PnL: -$60.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $524.54
Potential profit: $513.79
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$11.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$36.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $392.6
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$15.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.84
Potential profit: $279.84
User PnL: -$16.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $64.75
Potential payout: $172.66
Potential profit: $107.91
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $27.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.97
Potential profit: $134.97
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.73
Potential profit: $78.73
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.58
Potential profit: $64.58
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$2.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 21.6% 330.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 6% 179.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 38.5% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 51% 226.75 shares
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.8% 400 shares