Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- User PnL
- -$1.37K
Polymarket Trader
heistbelmont
0xe6c5d17568164c2fc43242422b80a6ec5ce78732
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.06
- Realized PnL
- $12.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- User PnL
- -$35.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$66.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$95.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$231.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$282.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$242.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$738.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$321.62
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $963.42
- Potential profit
- $963.42
- User PnL
- -$304.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.13
- Potential profit
- $961.13
- User PnL
- -$211.24
Yes position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $892.86
- Potential profit
- $892.86
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $129.06
- Potential payout
- $890.07
- Potential profit
- $761.01
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$92.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $831.75
- Potential profit
- $831.75
- User PnL
- -$112.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $816.76
- Potential profit
- $816.76
- User PnL
- -$102.17
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806.96
- Potential profit
- $806.96
- User PnL
- -$470.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $765.95
- Potential profit
- $765.95
- User PnL
- -$330.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.8
- Potential profit
- $748.8
- User PnL
- -$295.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.94
- Potential profit
- $649.94
- User PnL
- -$13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $644.95
- Potential profit
- $644.95
- User PnL
- -$137.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $629.94
- Potential profit
- $629.94
- User PnL
- -$157.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $616.08
- Potential profit
- $616.08
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.66
- Potential profit
- $600.66
- User PnL
- -$150.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $644.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $315.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.72
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes 1.2% 2,873.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.6% 5,835.46 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 3.1% 2,170.3 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 13% 512.82 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 31% 660.39 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 890.06 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 63% 375.86 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 69.2% 144.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 53.9% 37.08 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 33% 303.03 shares
- US strikes Iraq by March 7?Yes 59.8% 456.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 4% 93.93 shares