Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
Zaya
0xe6c9eee27de792a9fdcdd322822452625d0f975e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.2
- Realized PnL
- $18.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $400.01
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.2
- Potential payout
- $60.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.83
- Potential profit
- $59.83
- User PnL
- -$19.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $859.72
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $756.19
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $478.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430.68
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $377.58
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $372.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.73
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $353.41
Yes position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $346.68
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.78
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $313.51
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $312.81
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $306.49
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $305.45
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297.55
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $297.5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.16
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $294.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 45% 6.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 46% 37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 54% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 55% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 36% 28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 33% 43.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 40% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 59.1% 33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 33% 27.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 37% 6.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 59% 33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 29% 13 shares