No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $116.51
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $65.46
Polymarket Trader
MegaSingularity
0xe6d023315e2f6d9c415fef35fb47ad01e9c02e08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $374.08
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $222.57
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $918.83
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$14.29
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $358
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.51
- Potential profit
- $72.51
- User PnL
- -$57.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.24
No position
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 1,176.47 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 9,999.98 shares
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes 21% 1,000 shares
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes 19% 10.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes 20.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 1,896.35 shares
- Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes 37% 80.8 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes 1.9% 175.84 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes 13% 1,000 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 24% 132.99 shares
- US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No 88% 55.26 shares