Polymarket Trader

Coldonn101

0xe6fd18067d9b8768ee4dc45e926cf54867288bc3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.64K
Realized PnL: $21.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $5.44K
User PnL: -$912.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.62K
User PnL: -$2.35K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$2.44K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$354.11

No position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$108.66

Jordan position

Spread: Jordan (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$19.99

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$1.09K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$349.13

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $63.33
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$15.97

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$217.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $815.24
Potential profit: $815.24
User PnL: -$391.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $812.5
Potential profit: $812.5
User PnL: -$268.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.02
Potential profit: $781.02
User PnL: -$343.13

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $103.77
Potential payout: $715.65
Potential profit: $611.88
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$214.42

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $122.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $577.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$199.5

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $462
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $138
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $384.23
Potential payout: $477.31
Potential profit: $93.07
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $16.71

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $31.62
Potential payout: $451.65
Potential profit: $420.03
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$48.83

No position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $316.47
Potential payout: $395.59
Potential profit: $79.12
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.33
Potential profit: $267.33
User PnL: -$147.03

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $63.32
Potential payout: $74.93
Potential profit: $11.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $39.87
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $26.58
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $7.41

No position

Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $26.84
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $34.16
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$2.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.9K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.72

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $828.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $819.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.65

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.24

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.85

No position

Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.18

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.34

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.42

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.18

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.13

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.67

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.16

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $419.41

No position

10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $410.57

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 25.1% 96.23 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 258.12 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 395.58 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 46% 700 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5.3% 1,266.02 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 73% 308.89 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 41% 82.93 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 9.7% 100 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 38% 113.16 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 35.4% 3,674.87 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 37% 1,078.38 shares
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 63.83 shares