Polymarket Trader

bftznk

0xe70ef25ddf5c1839ae4c18eab5e589170a9ca75b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.6
Realized PnL: $33.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$11

US Strikes Iran position

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.66
Potential profit: $26.66
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.35
Potential profit: $26.35
User PnL: -$2

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.2%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $12.06
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.54
Potential profit: $6.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.4%?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will South Africa win?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 8+ at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Lakers position

Mavericks vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 17% 5.18 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 95% 2.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Down 94% 2.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Up 7% 24.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Down 94% 3.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Down 96% 3.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 63% 3.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Up 31% 5.81 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares