No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$114.8
Polymarket Trader
underthewater
0xe710485506832d09999ad9c19e3a74358df75023
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.97
- Realized PnL
- $223.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $88.92
- Potential payout
- $111.08
- Potential profit
- $22.16
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.37
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.48
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7.24
No position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $37.88
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.48
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15.9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.59
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Los Ratones position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Dplus KIA position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.85
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.5
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Los Ratones position
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.59
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.65
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Shifters position
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Movistar KOI position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas position
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Natus Vincere position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Solary position
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
T1 position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Solary position
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
LNG Esports position
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Dplus KIA position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
T1 position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
The Bandits position
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
FlyQuest position
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 32% 20 shares
- LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 1 WinnerThe Bandits 23% 6.83 shares
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2DN SOOPers 53% 10 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?Yes 11% 84.88 shares
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports 28% 5 shares
- LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerdevils.one 41% 5 shares
- LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonDOCISK 31% 5 shares
- LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerdevils.one 59% 5 shares
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerForsaken 20% 5 shares
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerForsaken 41% 5 shares
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers 7% 5 shares
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2KT Rolster Challengers 23% 1.23 shares