Polymarket Trader

donxarb

0xe7227415aadb4cab8c99154fe3c5e417080a8c38

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.22
Realized PnL: $4.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.41
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5.29
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $5.29
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $5.29
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $5.24
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $5.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 99% 5.05 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 96.7% 5.17 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Yes 97.9% 5.11 shares
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 96% 5.21 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95.9% 5.21 shares
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 97.2% 5.14 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 95.3% 5.25 shares
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 95.6% 5.23 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Yes 96.9% 5.16 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares