Polymarket Trader

rdgf

0xe728a8a82ea3f6013d54271cae496e732f21f4a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $206
Realized PnL: $18.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $155.92
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.08
Potential payout: $50.1
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.08

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Lakers position

Pacers vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Thunder position

Pelicans vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Solana reach $200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95% 11.58 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

No 99.8% 50.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

No 99.9% 15.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 99.9% 20.02 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99.2% 45.36 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?

No 99.9% 13.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.8% 20.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.8% 30.06 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

No 99.9% 62.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

No 99.9% 140.13 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 99.9% 13.01 shares