Polymarket Trader

Hdhdfh

0xe72c5a8b3f3052f5d6bc2ab93ab66dd7da0def71

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $436.37
Realized PnL: $4.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $47.04
Potential payout: $132.5
Potential profit: $85.46
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.96

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.12
Potential profit: $91.12
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $17.55
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $55.44
Multiplier: 4.16x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $48.21
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $23.21
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $8.21

No position

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $27.08
Potential payout: $60.17
Potential profit: $33.09
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$7.92

No position

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $37.66
Potential payout: $54.19
Potential profit: $16.53
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $7.66

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $23.32
Potential payout: $53.61
Potential profit: $30.29
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $11.82
Potential payout: $51.38
Potential profit: $39.57
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $13.44
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $8.73

No position

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $24.12
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $25.77
Potential payout: $42.25
Potential profit: $16.48
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $34.72
Potential payout: $42.08
Potential profit: $7.36
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $12.45
Potential payout: $31.71
Potential profit: $19.27
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.78
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.3

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.02
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$4.02

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $18.7
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $18.1
Potential profit: $10.04
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.36

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.8%
Current value: $10.44
Potential payout: $14.35
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $9.64
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11.26
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.2%
Multiplier: 3.43x
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?

No 62.2% 42.25 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 33.1% 78.86 shares
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

No 37.7% 132.5 shares
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No 77% 66.66 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?

No 71.3% 42.08 shares
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?

No 55.4% 54.19 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

No 69.7% 14.35 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

No 57% 43.86 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.6% 106.63 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 44% 53.61 shares