Polymarket Trader

Nostdam

@AsymmInvesting

0xe732156a2d84cdfb4de831d3f11a22899e49898f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $226.62
Realized PnL: $49.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.91K
Potential profit: $13.91K
User PnL: -$13.91

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.83K
Potential profit: $12.83K
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $10.13K
User PnL: -$236.96

Yes position

Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $7.95K
User PnL: -$231.89

Yes position

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $7.77K
User PnL: -$236.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $125.55
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.85K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$45.22

Yes position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.96K
Potential profit: $5.96K
User PnL: -$213.26

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.86K
Potential profit: $5.86K
User PnL: -$1.87K

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.83K
Potential profit: $5.83K
User PnL: -$22.77

Yes position

Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.81K
Potential profit: $4.81K
User PnL: -$198.09

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$904.76

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$464.3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $101.07
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$517.49

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 6?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $4.09K
User PnL: -$53.15

Yes position

Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $4.01K
User PnL: -$197.3

Under position

Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 143.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.89K
Potential profit: $3.89K
User PnL: -$36.08

Yes position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$638.73

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$4.71

No position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.48K
User PnL: -$13.91

Lehigh Mountain Hawks position

Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$18.28

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 65 million views on day 4?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$44.77

Atlanta Braves position

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$2.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.42K

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Senators

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Oilers position

Sharks vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

76ers position

76ers vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53K

Senators position

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Kings

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $922.24

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.68

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.8

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $852.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $841.57

Yes position

Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.26

Yes position

Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

No 94% 280.72 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 200 shares
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

No 67% 260.78 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23.4% 47.76 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.6% 527.83 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 8% 1,000 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 23% 1,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16.1% 386.7 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 287.5 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 30.6% 446.45 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 5% 1,400.53 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.3% 237.45 shares