Polymarket Trader

atomicmoose

0xe73997a477f5a7687f0fabfbadccac742e650c48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.51
Realized PnL: $700.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$109.2

Avalanche position

Canucks vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.16
Potential profit: $253.16
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$54

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will the US lose jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$67.58

No position

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$38.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.05

No position

Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23.5

Canada position

World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$31.2

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$20.4

Avalanche position

Predators vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$22.2

Kings position

Sharks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $22.86
Potential payout: $28.4
Potential profit: $5.54
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.06
Potential profit: $27.06
User PnL: -$15.42

Avalanche position

Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.6
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$6.6

Suns position

Bulls vs. Suns

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$16.4

Cavaliers position

Jazz vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sharks position

Blues vs. Sharks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.87

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.52

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.99

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.11

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.42

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.84

No position

Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.31

Yes position

Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Flyers position

Ducks vs. Flyers

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $95 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

No position

Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Sabres position

Canucks vs. Sabres

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Canadiens position

Flames vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.35

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 60% 50 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by June 30?

Yes 60% 20 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 33% 19.81 shares
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Canada 62% 50 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

No 13% 24.41 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

No 19% 50 shares
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

No 57% 12 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

No 35% 50 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

No 16.6% 399.99 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Yes 56% 70 shares