No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $150.14K
- Potential payout
- $150.82K
- Potential profit
- $678.67
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Polymarket Trader
allenzzz
@allenzzz_poly
0xe74995389bfc1c24ca656e6c2502c1fca757f771
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $546.93K
- Realized PnL
- $58.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $116.41K
- Potential payout
- $120.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $14.7K
- Potential payout
- $88K
- Potential profit
- $73.3K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$29.3K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $73.3K
- Potential payout
- $88K
- Potential profit
- $14.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $29.3K
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $36.57K
- Potential payout
- $36.74K
- Potential profit
- $165.31
- User PnL
- $702.88
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $26.6K
- Potential payout
- $28.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $24.66K
- Potential payout
- $24.82K
- Potential profit
- $161.35
- User PnL
- $247.68
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $19.98K
- Potential payout
- $22.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $897.72
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $14.89K
- Potential payout
- $15.84K
- Potential profit
- $950.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $122.81
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.44K
- Potential payout
- $11.48K
- Potential profit
- $40.18
- User PnL
- $130.39
No position
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.13K
- Potential payout
- $10.83K
- Potential profit
- $704.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $242.44
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $9.61K
- Potential payout
- $10.3K
- Potential profit
- $695.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $26.07
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.91K
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $49.8
- User PnL
- $44.63
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $7.51K
- Potential payout
- $7.55K
- Potential profit
- $33.97
- User PnL
- $145.76
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $6.19K
- Potential payout
- $6.45K
- Potential profit
- $267.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $198
No position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.08K
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $239.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $79.83
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $126.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $89.36
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $78.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35.48
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- User PnL
- $33.28
No position
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $895
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $899.43
- Potential payout
- $954.81
- Potential profit
- $55.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.1
No position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $645.41
- Potential payout
- $648
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $59.85
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $570.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$224.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84K
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51K
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.79
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $992.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.47
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $805.87
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $713.21
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.76
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.22
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.06
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.74
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 246.19 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 372.01 shares
- Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 103.39 shares
- Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 550.8 shares
- Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 39.86 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 90% 1,690.01 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 88.8% 529.64 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 88% 382 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 87% 321.41 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 94% 10,424.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.5% 33,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.5% 61.02 shares