MiddnightWanderer

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $447.53
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $354.42
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.48
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $209.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $142.58
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $78.84
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $49.47
Multiplier: 4.18x
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?