asterley

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$47.62

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $9.47
User PnL: $89.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $203.69
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $102.75

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $44.22
Potential payout: $804.01
Potential profit: $759.79
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$10.46

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $720.85
Potential profit: $719.05
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $695.8
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $629.99
Potential profit: $629.05
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.89

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $592.94
Potential payout: $596.22
Potential profit: $3.28
User PnL: $94.21

Under position

Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.18
Potential profit: $441.18
User PnL: -$247.77

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $367.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $92.95
Potential payout: $398.07
Potential profit: $305.12
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$23.8

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $292.03
Potential payout: $391.98
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $56.74
Potential payout: $378.26
Potential profit: $321.52
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $72.45
Potential payout: $371.56
Potential profit: $299.11
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$14.08

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.18
Potential profit: $365.18
User PnL: -$141.75

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $8.18
Potential payout: $363.66
Potential profit: $355.48
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $50.49
Potential payout: $357.06
Potential profit: $306.57
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $347.73
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$8.93

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $310.63
Potential payout: $339.49
Potential profit: $28.86
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $317.25
Potential profit: $310.46
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$4.67

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.15
Potential profit: $301.15
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $24.45
Potential payout: $287.69
Potential profit: $263.24
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$31.6

Under position

Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.48
Potential profit: $283.48
User PnL: -$102.1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$5.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.41

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.34

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $182.98

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $180.09

No position

Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.16

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.29

No position

Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $169.3

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.2

Yes position

Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.2

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.32

No position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.61

Yes position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.4

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.28

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.96

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $125.98

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.62

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $123.61

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.99

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.05

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $110.14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.76

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.69

No position

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?