Polymarket Trader

Talos-Perdix

0xe768dcf61161800075e705502fa1a9160989d036

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.51
Realized PnL: -$5.86
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.04
Potential profit: $120.04
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $72.92
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$9.58

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.26
Potential profit: $71.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $53.31
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.9
Potential profit: $37.9
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.41
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.2
Potential profit: $29.2
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.65
Potential profit: $16.65
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?

Yes 5.2% 96.15 shares
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 27.4% 29.2 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 98% 25.77 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 97% 25.77 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 7% 71.26 shares
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 30% 16.65 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 25.5% 19.61 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Up 31% 16.13 shares