Polymarket Trader

therealirshan

0xe769d89f5ebf2b678cae2623c10e1d5ef62626fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.21
Realized PnL: $10.76
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $729.67
Potential profit: $729.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $449
Potential profit: $448.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $312.2
Potential profit: $311.73
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $12.65
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $27.35
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.81
Potential profit: $22.81
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $4.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $2.68
User PnL: -$1.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will São Bernardo FC vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Spain position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the US strike Mexico next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 31.5% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 312.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 449 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 31.5% 7.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 729.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 344.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 315.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 228.61 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 32.2% 52.71 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 23.62 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?

Yes 97% 9.65 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?

Yes 52% 3.52 shares