Polymarket Trader

0xE76b8BeFa27B7e4D876f9fd2b678e02e5ebE94f5-1720981336277

0xe76b8befa27b7e4d876f9fd2b678e02e5ebe94f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $282.93
Realized PnL: $310.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $109.52
Potential payout: $117.14
Potential profit: $7.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $49.12
Potential payout: $52.03
Potential profit: $2.91
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $31.8
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $21.21
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20.71
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $19.98
Potential payout: $20.51
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $10.61
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 96.1% 52.03 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 99.9% 31.91 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

No 96.6% 20.71 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

No 87% 5.75 shares
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?

Yes 99.7% 20.06 shares
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?

No 99.8% 20.04 shares
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

No 97.1% 51.49 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 98% 30.61 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.5% 100.5 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 97.5% 61.54 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 84% 35.71 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 87.5% 34.29 shares