Polymarket Trader

Keginti

0xe76f43ff4782b8bf4fcb4db1dafac608d5b26841

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.98
Realized PnL: $74.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $48.39
Potential payout: $871.8
Potential profit: $823.42
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $600.27
Potential profit: $593.97
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.58
Potential profit: $401.58
User PnL: -$9.51

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $19.94
Potential payout: $110.48
Potential profit: $90.54
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $43.35
Potential payout: $109.76
Potential profit: $66.4
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.69
Potential profit: $29.69
User PnL: -$4.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.68
Potential profit: $11.68
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $11.67
User PnL: -$0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $45.55

No position

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.6% 110.48 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5 AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

18% 27 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

42.4% 34.76 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score AND Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

10.5% 92.29 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 91% 55.55 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 600.27 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

31.8% 92.42 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

30.4% 30.89 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 871.8 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 41% 109.76 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

28.3% 20.12 shares