pluviaefiscus

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$4.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$15.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $25.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$17.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$9.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $19.98
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $13.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $18.21
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.19
Potential profit: $17.19
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.14
Potential profit: $12.14
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$9.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $9.98
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.5
Potential profit: $9.5
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$1.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?