Polymarket Trader

ToryYates

0xe7776f85f02ecf40db914b5868887a479c2b5118

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.14
Realized PnL: $198.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$27.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.85
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $25.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$31.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$30.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$71.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$9.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$22.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.04
Potential profit: $6.04
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 49.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?

No 99.7% 15.05 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 14?

No 99.8% 5.01 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 14?

No 99.9% 15.02 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 7?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?

Yes 99% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?

No 99.7% 10.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

No 99.8% 15.03 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.2% 10.08 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Down 98% 5.1 shares