Polymarket Trader

reluctor

0xe77cf96fb47969f5bb9b7d3f52ab818cf25df2be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $792.12
Realized PnL: $1.64K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3.07K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $892.07
Potential profit: $885.38
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$79.31

Yes position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $164.29
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $550
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $64.29

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $85.03
Potential payout: $629.87
Potential profit: $544.84
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $207.97
Potential payout: $462.15
Potential profit: $254.18
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$92.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $37.84
Potential payout: $404.72
Potential profit: $366.88
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $17.84

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $240.54
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $29.73
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $40.54

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $244.13
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$24.13

No position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.18

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.12

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.02

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.53

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.73

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.6

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.4

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.41

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.31

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.1

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.86

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?

No 4.9% 404.72 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 74% 270.27 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 250 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?

Yes 16.7% 59.87 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?

Yes 15% 133.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 4.3% 465.12 shares
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Yes 9% 222.22 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 79% 468.75 shares