No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $91.05
- Potential payout
- $129.15
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Polymarket Trader
ArnolDTx
0xe783f12b7c5c367f1797590e43e1272d504fd600
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.17
- Realized PnL
- -$350.1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.59
- Potential profit
- $17.59
- User PnL
- -$9.68
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $4.6
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$355.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 57% 4.6 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 1,332.19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 72.8% 129.15 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 23.9% 662.3 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 29.7% 336.39 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 30% 333.5 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 53% 188.68 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 43% 1,081.55 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 51% 853.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown 52% 21.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown 45% 21.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown 55% 17.59 shares