Polymarket Trader

MaxNarvesen

0xe785e7859fc65daf877ade1074b992a62b74e267

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $161.66
Realized PnL: $259.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $314.17
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $240.63
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$40.62

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $26.77
Potential payout: $203.54
Potential profit: $176.77
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $103.89
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$12.78

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $69.73
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $23.89
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $45.08
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.02
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $35.86
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $21.56
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $6.44
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.74
Potential profit: $19.74
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $14.74
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $14.14
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.29

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.09

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Thunder position

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Yes 19% 78.95 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 20.2% 19.75 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 57.7% 69.26 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 203.54 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 64% 15.63 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 55% 27.27 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 32% 46.88 shares