Polymarket Trader

BlueMoon69

@0xBlueMoon

0xe786c3487e60cf9ae9cde877791614e0ac3d9d92

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.36K
Realized PnL: $962.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $494.86
Potential payout: $505.22
Potential profit: $10.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.74

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $290.41
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $254.14
Potential payout: $256.97
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.68

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$167.98

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.98
Potential profit: $169.98
User PnL: -$68.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $138
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $128.42
Potential payout: $151.08
Potential profit: $22.66
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $150.01
Potential profit: $130.51
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$65.88

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $149.98
User PnL: -$116.85

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $98.77
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.28

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$54.05

No position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $48.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.75

Xiyu Wang position

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Marina Bassols Ribera

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.13

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.28

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.46

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.55

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.57

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.96

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.73

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.44

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $29.76

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

No position

Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.59

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $21

No position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.83

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.6% 200 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.6% 105.02 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.5% 200.01 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.3% 100 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.3% 100 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.3% 200 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.1% 200 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99% 100 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.4% 50 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.3% 50 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 76.9% 50 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 79.1% 50 shares