Polymarket Trader

twin-917

0xe786d7e6349fb2a1721acacd12523cc09063f1ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60
Realized PnL: $625
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$30.8

No position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$19.25

No position

New Pope announced by May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.1

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will the AFD be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?

Ends Jul 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.29

No position

Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?

Ends Jun 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.2

Croatia position

World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia

Ends Dec 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.73

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season?

Ends Feb 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 14, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.82

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.23

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Alaska position

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.16

No position

Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Ukraine aid package in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.08

No position

Fed rate cut by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.85

Yes position

Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91

No position

Will FDP be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?

Ends May 5, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Morocco position

World Cup: Saturday - Portugal vs. Morocco

Ends Dec 10, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 87% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

No 77% 31.39 shares
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?

Yes 37% 30 shares
New Pope announced by May 9?

No 32% 30 shares
India military action against Pakistan before June?

No 55% 35 shares
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 16% 37.89 shares
Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?

Yes 61% 15 shares
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

No 99.7% 14.89 shares
Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?

Yes 63% 5 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 18% 10 shares
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

No 64% 10 shares
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Yes 94.7% 20 shares