Polymarket Trader

0xE79092Fd3C407fEf9825eA9bB616fFe6CC0e27bA-1737069205131

0xe79092fd3c407fef9825ea9bb616ffe6cc0e27ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.2
Realized PnL: $61.28
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $37.15
Potential payout: $57.59
Potential profit: $20.44
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $35.55
Potential profit: $30.57
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $14.66
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $14.54
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $13.38
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.09
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58
Potential profit: $2.58
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.51

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

No position

Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Raiders

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Rams position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Patriots position

Chargers vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.73

Lions position

Lions vs. Chiefs

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Tether insolvent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.39

No position

Will Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

74.6% 1.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 5.08 shares
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?

No 11.1% 13.38 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

38.6% 2.59 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 17% 19 shares
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Yes 39% 57.59 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 78% 20.08 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes 22% 11.09 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes 22% 24.45 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 38.8% 2.58 shares
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 44% 5.68 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares