No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Polymarket Trader
lianne447kai
0xe79afb8642542370920b6fdbb821dbdbe4eb7bf4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.72
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 89 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 80% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 3 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 86 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 82% 49 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 67 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 57 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 97.8% 46 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 41 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 84% 54 shares