Polymarket Trader

ceasefireeasterr

0xe7abf28d56a1091b0abc1ea41b4e7b950165bc60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.12
Realized PnL: -$634.25
Win rate: 38.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$285

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $991.01
Potential profit: $991.01
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $552.88
Potential profit: $552.88
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $53.38
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $216.89
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $53.38

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.43
Potential profit: $259.43
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $236.38
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $13.63

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.47
Potential profit: $152.47
User PnL: -$20.05

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $8.28
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $140.97
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Iran strike Turkey in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.15
Potential profit: $131.15
User PnL: -$20.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.17

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.76

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Ukraine be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.63

Yes position

Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.98

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$93.52

No position

Nothing Ever Happens

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$156.87

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$201.45

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$355.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 30% 66.67 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 140 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 25 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 149.25 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 108.7 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 270.27 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 50% 200 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Yes 82% 203.38 shares