No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $14.77
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Polymarket Trader
sdhush
0xe7b8f8f8ffb78e495a45cfc36f1167366174c60a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.77
- Realized PnL
- $12.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $3.27
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.36
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.26
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 91.7% 3.27 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 87% 2.3 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 88.5% 2.26 shares
- Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 84.8% 2.36 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 89.5% 1.12 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.8% 1.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.6% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 62% 1.61 shares