Polymarket Trader

RogerFK

0xe7d36a97920a9318dd00d8b40f5507f754a991da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.08
Realized PnL: $666.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.74
Potential profit: $274.74
User PnL: -$50

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.5

Paraguay position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.78
Potential profit: $77.78
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $52.38
User PnL: -$22

No position

Grok 4.4 released by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.31
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.72
Potential profit: $40.72
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $21.62
Potential profit: $17.59
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $18.35
Potential profit: $14.95
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $8.67
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.19

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.51

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.32

Yes position

Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.11

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.66

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Grok 4.4 released by July 17?

No 21% 47.62 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 75% 100 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 42% 52.38 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

9.2% 52.64 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 116.28 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 AND Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

14.5% 67.24 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 74.63 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Paraguay 9% 77.78 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares