Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $39.07
- Potential payout
- $716.89
- Potential profit
- $677.82
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$60.93
Polymarket Trader
0xe7d4...81dd
0xe7d4801087c7f0393d2d2ff9247a9ae5661481dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $90.11
- Realized PnL
- -$44.74
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $203.41
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.14
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $26.91
- Potential payout
- $203.89
- Potential profit
- $176.98
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- -$23.09
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $175.02
- Potential profit
- $174.76
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$49.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes 99.1% 304 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes 25% 304 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?Yes 28.6% 175.02 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 24.5% 203.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?No 40% 50 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 22% 227.27 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13.9% 716.89 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 42.8% 350.11 shares