Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $129.85
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$102.64
Polymarket Trader
alpacaslo
0xe7d5374977ea436be3ba896fd1ace420271079ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.85
- Realized PnL
- -$17.93
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.09
- Potential profit
- $446.09
- User PnL
- -$202.72
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $46
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.9
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.39
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 39.7% 188.93 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 35% 56.17 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 53.8% 200.99 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 4% 637.32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 6% 181.73 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 14.1% 637.33 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.8% 46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 10.6% 194.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 41.3% 181.73 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 25.7% 194.42 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 155.95 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 24% 421.65 shares