NoBot001

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $12.92
Potential payout: $538.16
Potential profit: $525.24
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $509.86
Potential payout: $521.59
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $424.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $496.7
Potential payout: $497.2
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $433.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470.3
Potential profit: $470.3
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.34
Potential profit: $420.34
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $35.87
Potential payout: $398.51
Potential profit: $362.64
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$15.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377.19
Potential profit: $377.19
User PnL: -$61.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $363.44
Potential profit: $361.8
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$38.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.23
Potential profit: $354.23
User PnL: -$23.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $338.62
Potential profit: $338.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $329.66
Potential profit: $329.66
User PnL: -$61.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $326.3
Potential profit: $326.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.76
Potential profit: $319.76
User PnL: -$52.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $317.73
Potential payout: $317.89
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $281.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $25.81
Potential payout: $305.41
Potential profit: $279.6
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.53
Potential profit: $288.53
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $279.94
Potential profit: $272.53
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$10.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.88
Potential profit: $269.88
User PnL: -$36.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.74
Potential profit: $265.74
User PnL: -$12.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $30.07
Potential payout: $261.51
Potential profit: $231.44
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$21.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $43.8
Potential payout: $250.29
Potential profit: $206.49
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $235.69
Potential profit: $231.57
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$17.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9?