Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $279.12
- Potential payout
- $13.04K
- Potential profit
- $12.76K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $30.45
Polymarket Trader
Banditoxaxa
0xe7fe17248aab26ed24935921fb81bf0a452624e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.86K
- Realized PnL
- $7.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $552.04
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $37.01
Yes position
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$22.11
No position
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $903.83
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $445.17
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $158.89
Y
Yes position
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $250.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $134.49
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $152.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $724.46
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $397.88
- Potential payout
- $936.19
- Potential profit
- $538.31
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$44.59
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $425.03
- Potential payout
- $914.04
- Potential profit
- $489.01
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $93.61
- Potential payout
- $776.84
- Potential profit
- $683.23
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$47.34
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $483.69
- Potential payout
- $749.91
- Potential profit
- $266.22
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $290.57
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.03
- Potential profit
- $705.03
- User PnL
- -$62.05
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609.7
- Potential profit
- $609.7
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $591.17
- Potential profit
- $590.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$188.51
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $565.03
- Potential profit
- $561.92
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$131.59
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $261.92
- Potential payout
- $563.26
- Potential profit
- $301.34
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$30.64
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $477.43
- Potential profit
- $477.43
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Current value
- $101.84
- Potential payout
- $422.58
- Potential profit
- $320.74
- Multiplier
- 4.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $370.48
- Potential profit
- $366.59
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$48.56
No position
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $59.23
- Potential payout
- $348.4
- Potential profit
- $289.17
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$130.49
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $227.43
- Potential payout
- $341.99
- Potential profit
- $114.57
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $51.33
No position
Will HEROIC make a roster change before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $56.26
- Potential payout
- $312.55
- Potential profit
- $256.29
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $25.75
No position
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $229.9
- Potential payout
- $265.78
- Potential profit
- $35.88
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $74.34
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $45.61
- Potential payout
- $222.49
- Potential profit
- $176.88
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $103.46
- Potential payout
- $217.8
- Potential profit
- $114.35
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$20.69
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$61
Y
Yes position
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $136.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $162.99
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $196.3
- Potential profit
- $174.02
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$20.66
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $41.79
- Potential payout
- $185.72
- Potential profit
- $143.93
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
N
No position
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $57.06
- Potential payout
- $184.07
- Potential profit
- $127.01
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $174.01
- Potential profit
- $170.53
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.43
Yes position
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.28
- Potential profit
- $172.28
- User PnL
- -$60.74
No position
Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.82
- Potential profit
- $151.82
- User PnL
- -$47.32
Y
Yes position
Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $139.51
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.11
BIG position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.21
- Potential profit
- $139.21
- User PnL
- -$73.88
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win between 10% and 15% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $131.4
- Potential profit
- $131.07
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.87
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Virtus.pro position
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$44
Y
Yes position
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $82.06
- Potential payout
- $125.28
- Potential profit
- $43.22
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.02
No position
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.86
- Potential profit
- $124.86
- User PnL
- -$41.73
Y
Yes position
Will Tunisia be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $54.6
- Potential payout
- $122.69
- Potential profit
- $68.09
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $122.19
- Potential profit
- $122.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.57
B8 position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.79
- Potential profit
- $121.79
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Yes position
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.75
- Potential profit
- $120.75
- User PnL
- -$52.3
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $51.97
- Potential payout
- $119.48
- Potential profit
- $67.51
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$30.77
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $115.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710.97
Yes position
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.32
BIG position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.74
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $208.94
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.42
Nawrocki position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $165
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $150.08
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.24
Sinners position
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.92
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $97.32
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.4
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.68
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $80.95
Yes position
Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.36
No position
Polish snap election called in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.2
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.38
B8 position
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Falcons vs. B8
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.68
OG position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.91
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.56
Ursa position
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.24
No position
Will NRG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will TYLOO qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.52
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.26
megoshort position
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
Lynn Vision position
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Falcons vs. Lynn Vision
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will OG qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $30.69
magic position
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.56
CSDIILIT position
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3)
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Basement Bobs position
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Brute position
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.96
No position
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.27
K27 position
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
Team Nemesis position
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
3DMAX position
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. 3DMAX
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Komodo position
Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 87% 135.62 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Yes 73% 150 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 87% 117.93 shares
- Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 25 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes 40% 20 shares
- Will Iraq be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29.6% 30.68 shares
- Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 73.6% 100.28 shares
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Under 30% 40 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 87.1% 260.14 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes 24% 62.69 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 88% 130.53 shares