Polymarket Trader

thalaivaa

0xe8110bc5b047a863dc014594aaf33d063e763fce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $598.07
Realized PnL: $1.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.65K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $183.33
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.48K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $83.34

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $47.22
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.51K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $51.69
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$48.31

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $88.88
Potential payout: $966.05
Potential profit: $877.17
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: $18.88

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $862.07
Potential profit: $862.07
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $14.94
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $573.29
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $348.9
Potential profit: $348.03
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$49.13

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $342.76
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$7.93

Italy position

T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.85
Potential profit: $318.85
User PnL: -$34.98

Canada position

T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.12
Potential profit: $265.12
User PnL: -$49.74

Canada position

T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.36
Potential profit: $186.36
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $107.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $26
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $35.62
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $87.84
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $15.62

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $49.46
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $59.24
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.54

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.94
Potential profit: $98.94
User PnL: -$48.48

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$50

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.86
Potential profit: $53.86
User PnL: -$34.04

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Texas Rangers position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.54

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.6

Yes position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.71

New York Mets position

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.18

No position

Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.08

Suns position

Suns vs. Jazz

Ends Oct 28, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.9

Yes position

Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend?

Ends Nov 27, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.94

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup?

Ends Aug 19, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Lions position

Lions vs. Texans

Ends Nov 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $48.12

Vikings position

Packers vs. Vikings

Ends Oct 29, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.21

Bucks position

Bucks vs. 76ers

Ends Oct 26, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Yes position

Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate?

Ends Nov 7, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.44

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $29.79

Yes position

Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.73

No position

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

No position

Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.47

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 3,846.15 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 6,439.39 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 46% 108.7 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 862.07 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 6,666.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91.3% 224.35 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 617.28 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 2,272.72 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 6,666.67 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 133.33 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 15% 117.64 shares