Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $201.75
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $100.64
Polymarket Trader
0xe811382D16b0a0321418d3fe7884263B4B4677E5-1766547528521
0xe811382d16b0a0321418d3fe7884263b4b4677e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $283.8
- Realized PnL
- $70.43
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.28
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$29.54
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645
- Potential profit
- $645
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $397.71
- Potential profit
- $396.71
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.74
No position
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.41
- Potential profit
- $123.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $115.75
- Potential profit
- $115.46
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.78
- Potential payout
- $87.27
- Potential profit
- $75.49
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.09
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$20.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $27.18
- Potential payout
- $28.61
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $12.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $12.38
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $19.93
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $19.9
- Potential profit
- $18.61
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $15.67
- Potential profit
- $14.05
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $14.41
- Potential profit
- $14.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $2.76
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
South Africa position
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Eintracht Frankfurt position
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Over position
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Over position
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75% 5 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Yes 71% 10 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 20 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 60% 20 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?No 59% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.5% 4,013.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.2% 133 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.4% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 3.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 3.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 22.09 shares