Polymarket Trader

LilliEstornino

0xe8114e234c0cc16cfdb3b2193d22eb154dde4363

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.24
Realized PnL: $29.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $52.38
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.32
Potential profit: $51.32
User PnL: -$15.91

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $30.23
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $16.64
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $15.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.78
Potential profit: $24.78
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.4
Potential profit: $24.4
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.77
Potential profit: $23.77
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $8.65
User PnL: -$4.84

Williams/Williams position

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Osorio/Sierra vs Williams/Williams

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.11
Potential profit: $7.11
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 51.32 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 24% 104.17 shares
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Osorio/Sierra vs Williams/Williams

Williams/Williams 61% 8.2 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76% 26.32 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?

Yes 32% 46.88 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 63.1% 23.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 97% 5.15 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 91% 10.99 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 4% 50 shares