tiger11

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $488.33
Potential payout: $65.11K
Potential profit: $64.62K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$87.7

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $356.63
Potential payout: $33.96K
Potential profit: $33.61K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$260.51

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $169.37
Potential payout: $30.8K
Potential profit: $30.63K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$15.86

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $128.33
Potential payout: $28.52K
Potential profit: $28.39K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$172.59

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $629.01
Potential payout: $26.77K
Potential profit: $26.14K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $430.12
Potential payout: $22.06K
Potential profit: $21.63K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$39.48

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $165.17
Potential payout: $22.02K
Potential profit: $21.86K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.95K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$29.98

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $443.77
Potential payout: $16.75K
Potential profit: $16.3K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$136.7

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $908.12
Potential payout: $15.79K
Potential profit: $14.89K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$30.21

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $323.02
Potential payout: $15.09K
Potential profit: $14.77K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$32.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $353.39
Potential payout: $14.42K
Potential profit: $14.07K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$35.61

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $120.58
Potential payout: $14.19K
Potential profit: $14.07K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $303.26
Potential payout: $14.17K
Potential profit: $13.87K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$80.32

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $880.41
Potential payout: $14.09K
Potential profit: $13.21K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$36.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $202.96
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $13.79K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$25.14

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $126.67
Potential payout: $13.33K
Potential profit: $13.21K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $141.72
Potential payout: $12.32K
Potential profit: $12.18K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$269.23

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $97.14
Potential payout: $11.43K
Potential profit: $11.33K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $72.12
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $9.54K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$34.92

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $98.01
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $9.24K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $242.13
Potential payout: $9.14K
Potential profit: $8.89K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$23.21

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $245.58
Potential payout: $8.93K
Potential profit: $8.68K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$179.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.31

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $347.35

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.49

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.48

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.09

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.15

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.79

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.32

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.32

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.75

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET