Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $278.82
- Potential payout
- $322.33
- Potential profit
- $43.51
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Polymarket Trader
ADbettingventures
0xe82674763388f0ad41b3db4e0f554d9994b16f1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $899.43
- Realized PnL
- -$258.12
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $260.25
- Potential payout
- $262.88
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $180.27
- Potential payout
- $182
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $180.09
- Potential payout
- $180.36
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.65
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.69
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.9
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.73
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$276.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86.7% 322.33 shares
- Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No 99.8% 180.36 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 182 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 89% 280.9 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95.1% 262.88 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.8% 389.32 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.6% 215.73 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 96.5% 259.07 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 97.4% 256.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 65% 384.65 shares
- US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No 96.1% 287.36 shares
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes 70% 375.64 shares