No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.85
Polymarket Trader
starkevin
0xe82e93c3228f36f30683242b2459bbbbebbc355e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24
- Realized PnL
- $4.31
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 92.3% 24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 4.8% 41 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 4.3% 8 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 92.5% 32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No 97.8% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No 97.9% 27 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 6.2% 59 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 6.9% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No 97.9% 30 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No 97.5% 30 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 4.6% 28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Yes 2.8% 18 shares