Polymarket Trader

xcabix

0xe830213189f0784dc0955a633fb6c64e9649824f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.77
Realized PnL: $30.36
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $11.44
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $10.56
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.37
Potential profit: $13.37
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $11.17
Potential payout: $12.62
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $2.46
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.35
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 53.8%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.86x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.27

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the next Pope be a manlet?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ferrari have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 60.7% 2.9 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 93.4% 5.35 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 60% 8.33 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 5.05 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 75% 6.67 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 79% 12.62 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares