Polymarket Trader

nicdan

0xe8411a41f6d2f0c612c1cd0075ba7a5cd11d1b59

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.62K
Realized PnL: $5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $130.46
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$994.29

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $784.43
Potential payout: $805.79
Potential profit: $21.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $736.34
Potential payout: $770.23
Potential profit: $33.89
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$7.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.07

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.42

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $195.07

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.79

No position

Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.27

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.62

Yes position

Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.4

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.34

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.35

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.95

Yes position

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.55

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.25

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.88

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.83

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.88

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.88

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.75

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.83

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.36

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.75

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 97.1% 132.92 shares
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 94.5% 1,058.35 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 99.4% 1,138.12 shares
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 96.5% 637.31 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 47.5% 1,314.9 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.8% 805.79 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 86.2% 580.34 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 91.1% 734.57 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 99.5% 666 shares
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 93.9% 1,171.71 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

No 93.1% 1,289.34 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99.9% 1,217.25 shares