Polymarket Trader

OuchMyBalls

0xe842459638f9b85b5d9b128b089c9ccafd5127d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $137.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.18K
Potential profit: $28.18K
User PnL: -$86.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.11K
Potential profit: $27.11K
User PnL: -$168.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.11K
Potential profit: $27.11K
User PnL: -$120.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.5K
Potential profit: $26.5K
User PnL: -$260.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.36K
Potential profit: $26.36K
User PnL: -$374.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.78K
Potential profit: $25.78K
User PnL: -$747.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.37K
Potential profit: $25.37K
User PnL: -$144.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.33K
Potential profit: $25.33K
User PnL: -$360.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.32K
Potential profit: $25.32K
User PnL: -$134.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.3K
Potential profit: $25.3K
User PnL: -$367.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.28K
Potential profit: $25.28K
User PnL: -$123.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.17K
Potential profit: $25.17K
User PnL: -$133.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.04K
Potential profit: $25.04K
User PnL: -$1.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$29.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.81K
Potential profit: $24.81K
User PnL: -$155.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.58K
Potential profit: $24.58K
User PnL: -$86.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.97K
Potential profit: $23.97K
User PnL: -$199.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.85K
Potential profit: $23.85K
User PnL: -$161.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.8K
Potential profit: $23.8K
User PnL: -$448.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.56K
Potential profit: $23.56K
User PnL: -$111.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.49K
Potential profit: $23.49K
User PnL: -$158.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.11K
Potential profit: $23.11K
User PnL: -$135.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.1K
Potential profit: $23.1K
User PnL: -$688.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08K
Potential profit: $23.08K
User PnL: -$736.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.68K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180-189 times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 37% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 36% 42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13% 19.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 33% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 46.46 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 46% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 12% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 203.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 59.4% 16.84 shares