No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Polymarket Trader
rgts
0xe84ae7acd5048161444d80e74474bdc0cd95b404
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.78K
- Realized PnL
- -$14.94K
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $81.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $286.57
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $17.81
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $607.19
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $31.65
- Potential profit
- $25.71
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.61
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.34
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.04
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $300.83
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $85.25
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$154.08
No position
Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$267.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.67K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.86K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.1% 13,271.17 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 7,896.53 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.2% 13,271.17 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No 97.9% 12,216.65 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No 97.3% 129.02 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 79% 1,913.41 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No 97.2% 12,345.68 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 82% 2,449.73 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 86% 2,321.21 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 625 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 80% 3,751.79 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.8% 7,812.5 shares